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Diff — Exponential distribution

Revision #3167 → #3711 · back to history

modifiedExponential distributionde6012bcb6ed
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
note`expMeasure r` is the exponential measure on ℝ with rate `r`, defined as `gammaMeasure 1 r`.Verified: `expMeasure r := gammaMeasure 1 r` in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Exponential.lean`.
modifiedPDF of exponential distribution30f3851d9099
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
note`exponentialPDFReal r x = r * exp (-(r*x))` for `0 ≤ x` and `0` otherwise (via `exponentialPDF_eq`).Verified: `exponentialPDF_eq` gives `r * exp (-(r*x))` on `0 ≤ x` and `0` else.
modifiedRate parametercd06ab3ae3eb
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe rate parameter is the `r : ℝ` argument of `exponentialPDFReal`/`expMeasure`, with positivity assumed via `hr : 0 < r`.Verified: the `r : ℝ` argument of `exponentialPDFReal`/`expMeasure` is the rate, with `0 < r` used throughout (e.g. `isProbabilityMeasure_expMeasure`).
modifiedInfinite divisibilitya91cdfd1e705
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noteNo notion of infinite divisibility or its instance for the exponential distribution was found in Mathlib.Verified: no `InfinitelyDivisible`/`infinitelyDivisible` definition exists anywhere in `Mathlib/`.
modifiedCDF of exponential distributionf961d8618864
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
note`cdf_expMeasure_eq` proves `cdf (expMeasure r) x = 1 - exp (-(r*x))` for `0 ≤ x` and `0` else.Verified: `cdf_expMeasure_eq` states `cdf (expMeasure r) x = if 0 ≤ x then 1 - exp (-(r*x)) else 0`.
modifiedScale parameter parametrization61fa8bf9eebf
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anchors[{"section":"Alternative parametrization","snippet":"The exponential distribution is sometimes parametrized in terms of the scale parameter"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle f(x;\\beta )={\\begin{cases}{\\frac {1}{\\beta }}e^{-x/\\beta }&amp;x\\geq 0,\\\\0&amp;x<0.\\end{cases}}\\qquad \\qquad F(x;\\beta )={\\begin{cases}1-e^{-x/\\beta }&amp;x\\geq 0,\\\\0&amp;x<0.\\end{cases}}}"}]
noteMathlib only provides the rate-parameter form; no scale-parameter alternative parametrization is defined.Verified: `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Exponential.lean` only exposes the rate-parameter form.
modifiedMean of exponential distributiond29b511f1e69
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anchors[{"section":"Mean, variance, moments, and median","snippet":"The mean or expected value of an exponentially distributed random variable"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\operatorname {E} [X]={\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}.}"}]
noteNo computation of `∫ x ∂(expMeasure r) = 1/r` is present in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Exponential.lean`.Verified: no expectation lemma for `expMeasure` appears in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Exponential.lean`.
modifiedVariance of exponential distributione2a71e7f5ebd
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Mean, variance, moments, and median","snippet":"The variance of X is given by"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\operatorname {Var} [X]={\\frac {1}{\\lambda ^{2}}},}"}]
noteNo variance formula for `expMeasure` was found.Verified: no `variance` lemma for `expMeasure` is present in Mathlib.
modifiedMoments of exponential distribution4bf9e98b92f1
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Mean, variance, moments, and median","snippet":"The moments of X , for"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\operatorname {E} \\left[X^{n}\\right]={\\frac {n!}{\\lambda ^{n}}}.}"}]
noteNo general moment formula `E[X^n] = n!/λ^n` for the exponential distribution was found.Verified: no general moment formula for the exponential distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedCentral moments of exponential distributionbf312bfa8d33
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Mean, variance, moments, and median","snippet":"The central moments of X , for"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\mu _{n}={\\frac {!n}{\\lambda ^{n}}}={\\frac {n!}{\\lambda ^{n}}}\\sum _{k=0}^{n}{\\frac {(-1)^{k}}{k!}}.}"}]
noteNo central moment formula for the exponential distribution was found.Verified: no central-moment formula for the exponential distribution is present in Mathlib.
modifiedMedian of exponential distributionb478f7eefab1
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Mean, variance, moments, and median","snippet":"The median of X is given by"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\operatorname {m} [X]={\\frac {\\ln(2)}{\\lambda }}<\\operatorname {E} [X],}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\left|\\operatorname {E} \\left[X\\right]-\\operatorname {m} \\left[X\\right]\\right|={\\frac {1-\\ln(2)}{\\lambda }}<{\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}=\\operatorname {\\sigma } [X],}"}]
noteNo general notion of `median` of a measure was found in `Mathlib/Probability`.Verified: no median-of-measure definition (nor an exponential instance) is present in `Mathlib/Probability`.
modifiedMemorylessness relation08f2c75d5713
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Memorylessness property of exponential random variable","snippet":"An exponentially distributed random variable T obeys the relation"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\Pr \\left(T>s+t\\mid T>s\\right)=\\Pr(T>t),\\qquad \\forall s,t\\geq 0.}"}]
noteNo `memoryless` predicate or proof for the exponential distribution was found in Mathlib.Verified: no `memoryless`/`Memoryless` occurrences anywhere under `Mathlib/`.
modifiedCharacterization of memoryless distributions1862554a2142
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noteMemorylessness is not formalized, so no such characterization exists in Mathlib.Verified: memorylessness is not formalized, so no such characterization exists.
modifiedConstant failure rate characterization8905409f2985
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noteNo notion of hazard/failure rate or its characterization is present in Mathlib.Verified: no hazard/failure-rate notion appears in Mathlib.
modifiedQuantile functionef5e68f29055
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anchors[{"section":"Quantiles","snippet":"The quantile function (inverse cumulative distribution function) for Exp"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle F^{-1}(p;\\lambda )={\\frac {-\\ln(1-p)}{\\lambda }},\\qquad 0\\leq p<1}"}]
noteNo quantile-function formula for the exponential distribution was found.Verified: no exponential-specific quantile function lemma is present.
modifiedQuartiles of exponential distributionc46e137a752e
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noteNo quartile computation for the exponential distribution was found.Verified: no quartile computation for the exponential distribution exists in Mathlib.
modifiedInterquartile rangea1e58a756063
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo interquartile range result for the exponential distribution was found.Verified: no interquartile-range lemma for the exponential distribution exists.
modifiedConditional Value at Riske1065989b18d
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noteNo CVaR/expected-shortfall definitions appear anywhere in Mathlib.Verified: no `CVaR`/`ExpectedShortfall` occurrences in `Mathlib/`.
modifiedBuffered Probability of Exceedanceff518bd1b1fa
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo buffered probability of exceedance is defined in Mathlib.Verified: no buffered probability of exceedance is defined anywhere in Mathlib.
modifiedKullback–Leibler divergence of exponentials744860057fcc
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Kullback–Leibler divergence","snippet":"The directed Kullback–Leibler divergence in nats of"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}\\Delta (\\lambda _{0}\\parallel \\lambda )&amp;=\\mathbb {E} _{\\lambda _{0}}\\left(\\log {\\frac {p_{\\lambda _{0}}(x)}{p_{\\lambda }(x)}}\\right)\\\\&amp;=\\mathbb {E} _{\\lambda _{0}}\\left(\\log {\\frac {\\lambda _{0}e^{\\lambda _{0}x}}{\\lambda e^{\\lambda x}}}\\right)\\\\&amp;=\\log(\\lambda _{0})-\\log(\\lambda )-(\\lambda _{0}-\\lambda )E_{\\lambda _{0}}(x)\\\\&amp;=\\log(\\lambda _{0})-\\log(\\lambda )+{\\frac {\\lambda }{\\lambda _{0}}}-1.\\end{aligned}}}"}]
noteGeneral KL divergence is formalized but the closed-form formula `λ₀/λ₁ − 1 − log(λ₀/λ₁)` for two exponentials is not.Verified: `InformationTheory.klDiv` is defined in general, but no closed-form for two exponentials is present.
modifiedMaximum entropy distribution298a1bac26ce
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noteNo maximum-entropy characterization is found for the exponential distribution in Mathlib.Verified: no maximum-entropy characterization of the exponential distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedMinimum of independent exponentials1374609f084b
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Distribution of the minimum of exponential random variables","snippet":"Let X 1 , ..., X n be independent exponentially distributed random variables with rate parameters"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\min \\left\\{X_{1},\\dotsc ,X_{n}\\right\\}}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\lambda =\\lambda _{1}+\\dotsb +\\lambda _{n}.}"}]
noteNo theorem that `min Xᵢ ∼ Exp(∑ λᵢ)` was found.Verified: no theorem that the minimum of independent exponentials is exponential appears in Mathlib.
modifiedIndex of minimum is categorical14110add1c72
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Distribution of the minimum of exponential random variables","snippet":"The index of the variable which achieves the minimum is distributed according to the categorical distribution"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\Pr \\left(X_{k}=\\min\\{X_{1},\\dotsc ,X_{n}\\}\\right)={\\frac {\\lambda _{k}}{\\lambda _{1}+\\dotsb +\\lambda _{n}}}.}"}]
noteNeither the categorical distribution nor this index theorem is formalized.Verified: neither a categorical distribution nor this index theorem appears in Mathlib.
modifiedDifference not exponentialea6d2726d18d
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Distribution of the minimum of exponential random variables","snippet":"is not exponentially distributed, if X 1 , ..., X n do not all have parameter 0"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\max\\{X_{1},\\dotsc ,X_{n}\\}}"}]
noteNo negative result on the distribution of differences of exponentials was found.Verified: no such negative-result lemma appears in Mathlib.
modifiedJoint moments of order statistics1fde4179f694
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Joint moments of i.i.d. exponential order statistics","snippet":"the joint moment"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}\\operatorname {E} \\left[X_{(i)}X_{(j)}\\right]&amp;=\\sum _{k=0}^{j-1}{\\frac {1}{(n-k)\\lambda }}\\operatorname {E} \\left[X_{(i)}\\right]+\\operatorname {E} \\left[X_{(i)}^{2}\\right]\\\\&amp;=\\sum _{k=0}^{j-1}{\\frac {1}{(n-k)\\lambda }}\\sum _{k=0}^{i-1}{\\frac {1}{(n-k)\\lambda }}+\\sum _{k=0}^{i-1}{\\frac {1}{((n-k)\\lambda )^{2}}}+\\left(\\sum _{k=0}^{i-1}{\\frac {1}{(n-k)\\lambda }}\\right)^{2}.\\end{aligned}}}"}]
noteNo order-statistic theory for exponential samples was found.Verified: no order-statistic theory for exponential samples appears in Mathlib.
modifiedSum of two independent exponentials density06ce66fe3a4e
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Sum of two independent exponential random variables","snippet":"are independent exponential random variables with respective rate parameters"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}f_{Z}(z)&amp;=\\int _{-\\infty }^{\\infty }f_{X_{1}}(x_{1})f_{X_{2}}(z-x_{1})\\,dx_{1}\\\\&amp;=\\int _{0}^{z}\\lambda _{1}e^{-\\lambda _{1}x_{1}}\\lambda _{2}e^{-\\lambda _{2}(z-x_{1})}\\,dx_{1}\\\\&amp;=\\lambda _{1}\\lambda _{2}e^{-\\lambda _{2}z}\\int _{0}^{z}e^{(\\lambda _{2}-\\lambda _{1})x_{1}}\\,dx_{1}\\\\&amp;={\\begin{cases}{\\dfrac {\\lambda _{1}\\lambda _{2}}{\\lambda _{2}-\\lambda _{1}}}\\left(e^{-\\lambda _{1}z}-e^{-\\lambda _{2}z}\\right)&amp;{\\text{ if }}\\lambda _{1}\\neq \\lambda _{2}\\\\[4pt]\\lambda ^{2}ze^{-\\lambda z}&amp;{\\text{ if }}\\lambda _{1}=\\lambda _{2}=\\lambda .\\end{cases}}\\end{aligned}}}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}H(Z)&amp;=1+\\gamma +\\ln \\left({\\frac {\\lambda _{1}-\\lambda _{2}}{\\lambda _{1}\\lambda _{2}}}\\right)+\\psi \\left({\\frac {\\lambda _{1}}{\\lambda _{1}-\\lambda _{2}}}\\right),\\end{aligned}}"}]
noteNo convolution formula for two exponentials with different rates was found.Verified: no convolution formula for two exponentials appears in Mathlib.
modifiedEqual rate parameters yield Erlang8d865bc98913
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
mathlib.module_note
noteThe Gamma distribution (which subsumes Erlang) is defined, but no theorem connects the sum of two exponentials to it.Verified: `gammaMeasure` (which subsumes Erlang for integer shape) is defined, but no sum-of-two-exponentials identification exists.
modifiedSum of n i.i.d. exponentialsf14ac443b6cd
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe Gamma target distribution exists in Mathlib, but the convolution identity sum of n iid Exp(λ) = Gamma(n,λ) is not proven.Verified: `gammaMeasure` is defined in Mathlib but the convolution identity `∑ Exp(λ) = Gamma(n,λ)` is not proven.
modifiedLaplace absolute value6d1b04d50645
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe Laplace distribution is not defined in Mathlib (no matching files found).Verified: no Laplace distribution file exists in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/`.
modifiedUniform to exponential1e1ae3758307
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo theorem stating that `-log U/λ ∼ Exp(λ)` for uniform `U` was found.Verified: no `-log U / λ ∼ Exp(λ)` transformation lemma is present in Mathlib.
modifiedLog of Paretoa10af8e4bc88
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe Pareto distribution is formalized but no transformation result linking it to the exponential is present.Verified: `paretoMeasure` is defined, but no transformation result linking it to the exponential.
modifiedLimit of scaled beta57dfb101d902
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Related distributions","snippet":"The exponential distribution is a limit of a scaled beta distribution"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\lim _{n\\to \\infty }n\\operatorname {Beta} (1,n)=\\operatorname {Exp} (1).}"}]
noteBeta distribution exists in Mathlib but no convergence-to-exponential limit theorem was found.Verified: `betaPDF`/`betaPDFReal` are defined, but no convergence-to-exponential limit theorem is present.
modifiedSpecial case of Pearson type 342846ec8eec2
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
notePearson distributions are not present in Mathlib.Verified: Pearson distributions do not appear in Mathlib.
modifiedSpecial case of Gamma60ff11574395
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
mathlib.declProbabilityTheory.exponentialPDFRealProbabilityTheory.expMeasure
noteBy definition `exponentialPDFReal r x = gammaPDFReal 1 r x` and `expMeasure r = gammaMeasure 1 r`.Verified: `expMeasure r := gammaMeasure 1 r` and `exponentialPDFReal r x := gammaPDFReal 1 r x` realise this identification definitionally.
modifiedClosure under scaling57ba18470672
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo theorem stating that `kX ∼ Exp(λ/k)` for `X ∼ Exp(λ)` was found.Verified: no `k · X ∼ Exp(λ/k)` closure lemma appears in Mathlib.
modifiedBenktander Weibull relationcff87145cd17
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe Benktander–Weibull distribution is not defined in Mathlib.Verified: no Benktander–Weibull distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedExponential of exponential is Paretobf88b8fcacd2
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo transformation theorem relating `k·e^X` of an exponential to Pareto was found.Verified: no `k · e^X ∼ Pareto` transformation lemma is present.
modifiede to minus lambda X uniform5d5959add503
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo such transformation theorem from exponential to uniform was found.Verified: no `e^{-λX} ∼ U(0,1)` transformation lemma appears in Mathlib.
modifiede to minus X is Betab32cf6361b98
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo `e^{-X} ∼ Beta` transformation result was found in Mathlib.Verified: no `e^{-X} ∼ Beta` transformation result appears in Mathlib.
modifiedPower law relation1c0f120a2345
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
notePower-law distributions are not separately formalized.Verified: no separate power-law distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedGumbel relationa630ed67a185
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteGumbel distribution is not present in Mathlib.Verified: no Gumbel distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedLaplace from difference69dbf2a1f418
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteLaplace distribution is absent from Mathlib.Verified: no Laplace distribution exists in Mathlib.
modifiedMinimum of exponentials relatedb92589c91864
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo min-of-exponentials theorem is present in Mathlib.Verified: no min-of-exponentials theorem appears in Mathlib.
modifiedDifference of exponentials Laplace0b6a1f7e3c9e
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteLaplace distribution and this transformation result are not in Mathlib.Verified: no Laplace distribution nor this transformation appears in Mathlib.
modifiedChi-squared relationa09861734fbc
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Related distributions","snippet":"X has a chi-squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle \\operatorname {Exp} (\\lambda )={\\frac {1}{2\\lambda }}\\operatorname {Exp} \\left({\\frac {1}{2}}\\right)\\sim {\\frac {1}{2\\lambda }}\\chi _{2}^{2}\\Rightarrow \\sum _{i=1}^{n}\\operatorname {Exp} (\\lambda )\\sim {\\frac {1}{2\\lambda }}\\chi _{2n}^{2}}"}]
noteChi-squared distribution is not present in Mathlib.Verified: no chi-squared distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedHoyt from exponential and arcsine051cd51d1160
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNeither Hoyt nor arcsine distributions appear in Mathlib's probability distributions.Verified: neither Hoyt nor arcsine distributions appear in Mathlib's probability distributions.
modifiedLimit of kappa-exponentialfd0971a40d89
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteKappa-exponential distribution is not present in Mathlib.Verified: no κ-exponential distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedLimit of kappa-Generalized Gamma20e79a064da8
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteKappa-generalized Gamma is not present in Mathlib.Verified: no κ-generalized Gamma distribution appears in Mathlib.
modifiedLikelihood function22165a563e84
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Parameter estimation","snippet":"The likelihood function for λ, given an independent and identically distributed sample"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle L(\\lambda )=\\prod _{i=1}^{n}\\lambda \\exp(-\\lambda x_{i})=\\lambda ^{n}\\exp \\left(-\\lambda \\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}\\right)=\\lambda ^{n}\\exp \\left(-\\lambda n{\\overline {x}}\\right),}"}]
noteA general log-likelihood-ratio is formalized but no exponential-distribution-specific likelihood function is.Verified: general log-likelihood-ratio `llr` exists, but no exponential-specific likelihood function.
modifiedMaximum likelihood estimator024deeb8b113
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Parameter estimation","snippet":"the maximum likelihood estimate for the rate parameter is"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\text{mle}}={\\frac {1}{\\overline {x}}}={\\frac {n}{\\sum _{i}x_{i}}}}"}]
noteNo MLE for the exponential rate parameter is formalized.Verified: no MLE for the exponential rate parameter is formalized.
modifiedMLE bias91f882e572b8
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteStatistical bias of the MLE is not discussed in Mathlib.Verified: statistical bias of estimators is not developed in Mathlib.
modifiedBias-corrected MLEd2ff4213560e
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Parameter estimation","snippet":"which yields the bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimator"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle B\\equiv \\operatorname {E} \\left[\\left({\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\text{mle}}-\\lambda \\right)\\right]={\\frac {\\lambda }{n-1}}}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\text{mle}}^{*}={\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\text{mle}}-B.}"}]
noteBias-correction of estimators is not in Mathlib.Verified: no bias-corrected estimator appears in Mathlib.
modifiedMSE-minimizing correctionf2908f862897
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Parameter estimation","snippet":"An approximate minimizer of mean squared error"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\widehat {\\lambda }}=\\left({\\frac {n-2}{n}}\\right)\\left({\\frac {1}{\\bar {x}}}\\right)={\\frac {n-2}{\\sum _{i}x_{i}}}}"}]
noteMSE-minimizing estimator corrections are not in Mathlib.Verified: no MSE-minimizing correction appears in Mathlib.
modifiedFisher information756cbc8d527e
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Fisher information","snippet":"The Fisher information , denoted"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\mathcal {I}}(\\lambda )=\\operatorname {E} \\left[\\left.\\left({\\frac {\\partial }{\\partial \\lambda }}\\log f(x;\\lambda )\\right)^{2}\\right|\\lambda \\right]=\\int \\left({\\frac {\\partial }{\\partial \\lambda }}\\log f(x;\\lambda )\\right)^{2}f(x;\\lambda )\\,dx}"}]
noteNo Fisher information definition is found in Mathlib.Verified: no `FisherInformation`/`fisherInformation` occurrences under `Mathlib/`.
modifiedExact confidence interval6ed0948e3c77
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Confidence intervals","snippet":"An exact 100(1 − α)% confidence interval for the rate parameter of an exponential distribution is given by"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\frac {2n}{{\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\textrm {mle}}\\chi _{{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}<{\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}<{\\frac {2n}{{\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\textrm {mle}}\\chi _{1-{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}\\,,}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\frac {2n{\\overline {x}}}{\\chi _{{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}<{\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}<{\\frac {2n{\\overline {x}}}{\\chi _{1-{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}\\,,}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}\\lambda _{\\text{lower}}&amp;={\\widehat {\\lambda }}\\left(1-{\\frac {1.96}{\\sqrt {n}}}\\right)\\\\\\lambda _{\\text{upper}}&amp;={\\widehat {\\lambda }}\\left(1+{\\frac {1.96}{\\sqrt {n}}}\\right)\\end{aligned}}"}]
noteConfidence intervals are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: confidence intervals are not developed in Mathlib.
modifiedNormal approximation CI9399517d4046
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Confidence intervals","snippet":"A simple approximation to the exact interval endpoints can be derived using a normal approximation"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\frac {2n}{{\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\textrm {mle}}\\chi _{{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}<{\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}<{\\frac {2n}{{\\widehat {\\lambda }}_{\\textrm {mle}}\\chi _{1-{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}\\,,}"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\frac {2n{\\overline {x}}}{\\chi _{{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}<{\\frac {1}{\\lambda }}<{\\frac {2n{\\overline {x}}}{\\chi _{1-{\\frac {\\alpha }{2}},2n}^{2}}}\\,,"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\begin{aligned}\\lambda _{\\text{lower}}&amp;={\\widehat {\\lambda }}\\left(1-{\\frac {1.96}{\\sqrt {n}}}\\right)\\\\\\lambda _{\\text{upper}}&amp;={\\widehat {\\lambda }}\\left(1+{\\frac {1.96}{\\sqrt {n}}}\\right)\\end{aligned}}}"}]
noteNormal-approximation CIs are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: normal-approximation CIs are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedConjugate gamma prior612992b74981
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteBayesian conjugate-prior theory is not present in Mathlib.Verified: Bayesian conjugate-prior theory is absent from Mathlib.
modifiedPosterior distribution800d6f5e3e0a
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo posterior-distribution derivation appears in Mathlib.Verified: no posterior-distribution derivation appears in Mathlib.
modifiedPosterior meanbe9899f59852
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Bayesian inference with a conjugate prior","snippet":"The posterior mean here is"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle {\\frac {\\alpha +n}{\\beta +n{\\overline {x}}}}.}"}]
noteNo posterior-mean computation for the exponential model exists in Mathlib.Verified: no posterior-mean computation for the exponential model exists.
modifiedHaar measure for exponential08cda9873eda
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteAlthough Haar measure exists in Mathlib generally, the Bayesian Haar prior for the exponential distribution is not formalized.Verified: general Haar measure exists in Mathlib, but no exponential-specific Bayesian Haar prior is defined.
modifiedBayesian prediction with Haar priorebd3336a5ca5
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteBayesian predictive distributions are not present in Mathlib.Verified: Bayesian predictive distributions are not developed in Mathlib.
modifiedInter-arrival times in Poisson process4b9d023ff5d7
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
notePoisson point process theory and inter-arrival theorems are not in Mathlib.Verified: only the Poisson PMF (`Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Poisson/…`) is present — no Poisson point process nor inter-arrival theorem.
modifiedContinuous counterpart of geometric6546cdfc272d
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteBoth distributions exist (`geometricPMFReal`, `expMeasure`) but no result connects them as continuous/discrete analogues.Verified: `geometricMeasure` and `expMeasure` exist, but no formal analogy result connects them.
modifiedPhone calls and radioactive decayf8308b390dc0
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteApplied examples like phone calls and radioactive decay are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: applied physical examples are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedConstant probability per unit lengthb3f94a144949
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteApplied modelling examples are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: applied modelling examples are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedQueuing theory service times92e5e4abe302
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteQueueing-theory applications are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: queueing-theory applications are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedReliability theory bathtub curveb2197829121a
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteReliability theory is not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: reliability theory is not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedBarometric formula19be4d2713ae
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteBarometric/physics examples are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: physical/barometric examples are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedHydrology extreme values44065f3a8c08
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteHydrology/extreme-value applications are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: hydrology/extreme-value applications are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedSurgery duration0002aedabbaa
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteOperations-research applications are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: operations-research applications are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedPlug-in predictive distributionca6310c6baa3
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
anchors[{"section":"Prediction","snippet":"the so-called plug-in distribution, formed by plugging a suitable estimate for the rate parameter"},{"type":"math_alttext","value":"{\\displaystyle p_{\\rm {ML}}(x_{n+1}\\mid x_{1},\\ldots ,x_{n})=\\left({\\frac {1}{\\overline {x}}}\\right)\\exp \\left(-{\\frac {x_{n+1}}{\\overline {x}}}\\right).}"}]
notePlug-in predictive distributions are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: plug-in predictive distributions are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedCNML predictive superiority1bf2a796fdca
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteCNML and predictive comparison theorems are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: CNML and predictive comparison theorems are not in Mathlib.
modifiedInverse transform sampling8000ddfd89f9
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteInverse transform sampling is not formalized for the exponential distribution in Mathlib.Verified: no inverse-transform-sampling result for the exponential distribution is in Mathlib.
modifiedUniform symmetry trickde4b2118ce0f
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo theorem stating `1 − U` is uniform on `(0,1)` for uniform `U` was found in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Uniform.lean`.Verified: no `1 − U` symmetry lemma appears in `Mathlib/Probability/Distributions/Uniform.lean`.
modifiedStandard deviation equals mean4c284ac1cf16
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteDirect consequence of Var[X] = 1/λ², but no formalization of variance/standard deviation for `expMeasure` exists.Verified: neither variance nor standard deviation is computed for `expMeasure` in Mathlib.
modifiedMemorylessness via complementary CDF8319da320da7
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNo proof of the memoryless property via the survival function is formalized for `expMeasure`.Verified: no memoryless-via-survival-function proof is present for `expMeasure`.
modifiedMinimum via complementary CDF572b663d127f
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe complementary-CDF argument for the distribution of the minimum of independent exponentials is not formalized.Verified: the complementary-CDF argument for the min-of-exponentials theorem is not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedMedian-mean inequality for exponential9f0a9caf4e27
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteNeither the general median-mean inequality nor its exponential-distribution instance is in Mathlib.Verified: neither the general median-mean inequality nor its exponential instance is in Mathlib.
modifiedLog-likelihood derivative0dfbacaa05c4
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteScore function computations for the exponential family are not formalized in Mathlib.Verified: score-function computations for the exponential family are not formalized in Mathlib.
modifiedFisher information of rate parameter27f27cce8653
FieldFrom #3167To #3711
noteThe specific Fisher information I(λ) = 1/λ² for the exponential distribution is not in Mathlib (Fisher information itself is not defined).Verified: Fisher information itself is not defined in Mathlib, so `I(λ) = 1/λ²` is likewise absent.
addedSupport on non-negative reals71426712b673
addedSum of n i.i.d. exponentials is Erlang6c130cfe6853